No. 285· MWC

Air Force

Record 1-1Tempo 72.5Off 104.0Def 115.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin-10.98

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#285

-10.98

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#229

104.0

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#296

115.0

Adjusted Tempo

#125

72.5

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#259

32.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#266

48.0%

TOV%

#151

18.9%

ORB%

#39

33.7%

FTR

#77

36.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 104.0, D: 115.0

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-11.0

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:50.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #229, Def: #296

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:26.9%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.40

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:32.9

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-4.7%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:0.1%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.7%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:2.48

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:62.5%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)