Macfax Methodology
Macfax is independent, transparent, still improving, and built around basketball logic. These pages explain what each metric measures, how the numbers are calculated, and how to interpret them without overusing them.
Core Team Ratings
Macfax Adjusted Ratings
How Macfax estimates team strength using opponent-adjusted offensive, defensive, net, and tempo ratings.
Comparing overall team quality across unequal schedulesThe Four Factors
The basketball foundation behind shooting efficiency, turnovers, rebounding, and free throw pressure.
Understanding how a team wins possessions, not just whether they doMacfax Four Factor Index
How Macfax combines Four Factor performance into one standardized 0–100 team profile score.
Quick comparison of overall possession-efficiency profile across teams and seasonsPlayer Evaluation
Roster Projections
Prediction Tools
Macfax Matchup Model
How Macfax projects scores, spreads, totals, win probabilities, and Four Factor matchup edges.
Understanding what Macfax expects from a specific upcoming gameThe Crystal Ball
How Macfax evaluates every team against 15 historical championship benchmarks to score championship readiness.
Identifying which teams have the profile of a legitimate national contender right nowMacfax Cinderella Index
How Macfax identifies teams more dangerous than their seed or reputation suggests across five structural dimensions.
Finding teams more dangerous than their seed or reputation suggestsVisual Frameworks
The Trapezoid of Excellence
How Macfax identifies the national efficiency-tempo region where championship-caliber teams historically appear.
Identifying whether a team's efficiency-tempo combination sits in the nationally elite zoneThe Efficiency Landscape
How Macfax maps every Division I team by adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency to show both team strength and team style.
Seeing how teams are strong — offensively, defensively, or both — at a glanceRésumé and Data
Macfax Resume Metrics
How Macfax evaluates schedule strength, quality wins, WAB, SOR, SOS, NET rank, and full tournament resume.
Evaluating what a team has accomplished against their actual scheduleData Sources and Update Timing
Where Macfax data comes from, how it is processed through the computation pipeline, and when ratings update.
Understanding data freshness, what is and is not tracked, and the reliability of current ratings