No. 233· Pat

American

Record 0-1Tempo 72.7Off 103.1Def 109.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin-6.21

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#233

-6.21

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#250

103.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#195

109.3

Adjusted Tempo

#94

72.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#247

35.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#283

47.3%

TOV%

#241

19.8%

ORB%

#250

30.0%

FTR

#130

35.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 103.1, D: 109.3

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-6.2

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #250, Def: #195

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:24.1%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.81

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:35.1

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.2%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.9%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.8%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:2.09

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.2

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:80.0%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)