No. 118· B12

Arizona St.

Record 1-0Tempo 70.8Off 111.4Def 109.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+2.01

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#118

2.01

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#79

111.4

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#196

109.4

Adjusted Tempo

#286

70.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#122

54.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#154

50.1%

TOV%

#121

18.7%

ORB%

#53

33.0%

FTR

#82

36.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 111.4, D: 109.4

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:2.0

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #79, Def: #196

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:30.8%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.20

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:54.2

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.3%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:0.8%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:0.5%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:3.89

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:80.8%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)