No. 160· SB

Arkansas St.

Record 1-0Tempo 72.3Off 107.1Def 108.6

Adj. Efficiency Margin-1.46

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#160

-1.46

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#171

107.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#170

108.6

Adjusted Tempo

#143

72.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#138

52.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#240

48.7%

TOV%

#56

18.1%

ORB%

#138

31.6%

FTR

#206

33.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.1, D: 108.6

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-1.5

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #171, Def: #170

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:29.7%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.22

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:52.1

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.7%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.4%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.0%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:3.63

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:43.5%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)