No. 236· MAC

Ball St.

Record 0-1Tempo 72.3Off 100.6Def 107.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin-6.38

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#236

-6.38

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#279

100.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#126

107.0

Adjusted Tempo

#151

72.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#213

40.6

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#290

47.0%

TOV%

#215

19.5%

ORB%

#96

32.2%

FTR

#102

36.1%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 100.6, D: 107.0

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-6.4

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #279, Def: #126

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:13.5%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.83

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:40.6

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.8%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.2%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:1.7%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-3.37

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.0%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)