No. 114· MAC

Bowling Green

Record 1-0Tempo 72.0Off 109.4Def 107.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin+2.29

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#114

2.29

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#114

109.4

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#132

107.1

Adjusted Tempo

#194

72.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#101

57.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#79

51.2%

TOV%

#188

19.3%

ORB%

#93

32.2%

FTR

#75

36.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 109.4, D: 107.1

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:2.3

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #114, Def: #132

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:38.1%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.24

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:57.0

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.9%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.2%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:2.9%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:5.14

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:53.8%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)