No. 30· BE

Butler

Record 2-0Tempo 73.2Off 113.4Def 102.2

Adj. Efficiency Margin+11.11

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#30

11.11

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#49

113.4

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#36

102.2

Adjusted Tempo

#56

73.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#21

73.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

53.4%

TOV%

#234

19.7%

ORB%

35.9%

FTR

#275

32.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 113.4, D: 102.2

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:11.1

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #49, Def: #36

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:41.4%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.32

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:73.7

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:4.6%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.3%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:6.2%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:0.50

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:69.7%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)