No. 188· MAC

Central Michigan

Record 1-0Tempo 72.1Off 108.5Def 111.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin-2.72

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#188

-2.72

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#134

108.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#240

111.3

Adjusted Tempo

#168

72.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#131

52.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#78

51.3%

TOV%

#236

19.7%

ORB%

#40

33.7%

FTR

#199

34.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.5, D: 111.3

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-2.7

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #134, Def: #240

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:41.4%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.38

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:52.9

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.9%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.1%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:0.4%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.36

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.2%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)