No. 157· Pat

Colgate

Record 0-1Tempo 72.5Off 109.2Def 110.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin-1.19

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#157

-1.19

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#119

109.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#224

110.3

Adjusted Tempo

#119

72.5

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#174

46.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#161

50.1%

TOV%

#76

18.3%

ORB%

#110

31.9%

FTR

#107

36.1%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 109.2, D: 110.3

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-1.2

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #119, Def: #224

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:31.8%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.19

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:46.4

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.8%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.0%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:0.6%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-3.34

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.2

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:50.0%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)