No. 49· A10

Dayton

Record 1-0Tempo 72.0Off 112.7Def 103.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin+8.94

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#49

8.94

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#59

112.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#56

103.7

Adjusted Tempo

#180

72.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#64

62.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#132

50.4%

TOV%

#118

18.6%

ORB%

#19

34.3%

FTR

#160

34.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 112.7, D: 103.7

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:8.9

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #59, Def: #56

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.6%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.06

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:62.9

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:2.0%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:0.1%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.4%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.14

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:85.7%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)