No. 2· ACC

Duke

Record 1-0Tempo 72.4Off 119.1Def 96.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin+22.87

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

22.87

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

119.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

96.3

Adjusted Tempo

#169

72.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#31

71.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#123

50.6%

TOV%

#146

18.9%

ORB%

#36

33.1%

FTR

#87

35.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

9 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

60% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

PASS

Value:Inside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

PASS

Value:O: 119.1, D: 96.3

Need:(O ≥ 116.2 & D ≤ 102.7) or EM ≥ 20.2

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

PASS

Value:22.9

Need:≥ 16.9

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 116.0% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

PASS

Value:Off: #4, Def: #1

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:18.2%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

PASS

Value:Z: 2.84

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:71.5

Need:≥ 84.1

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.4%

Need:≥ 3.4%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:2.4%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:1.9%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:4.34

Need:≥ -1.93

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:84.6%

Need:≥ 64.2% (Z ≥ -0.28)