No. 145· Amer

East Carolina

Record 1-0Tempo 71.7Off 108.6Def 109.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin-0.52

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#145

-0.52

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#130

108.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#188

109.1

Adjusted Tempo

#220

71.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#82

59.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#80

51.2%

TOV%

#110

18.6%

ORB%

#108

31.9%

FTR

#98

36.2%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.6, D: 109.1

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-0.5

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #130, Def: #188

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:48.0%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.11

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:59.7

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.2%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.9%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:5.11

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:68.0%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)