No. 104· BW

Hawaii

Record 24-9Tempo 70.8Off 107.8Def 102.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin+5.33

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#104

5.33

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#202

107.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#48

102.5

Adjusted Tempo

#49

70.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#49

64.6

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#182

51.3%

TOV%

#287

18.3%

ORB%

#178

30.7%

FTR

#44

40.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.8, D: 102.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:5.3

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:72.7%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #202, Def: #48

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:31.7%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.43

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:64.6

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:3.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.8%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:4.2%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:4.83

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-4.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:73.5%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Notable Upset Risk

AdjEM-to-seed is 3 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.

Underseeded (28%)57

Defense (27%)80

Possession (21%)38

Variance (14%)33

Resume (10%)58

View full Cinderella Index →