No. 294· Pat

Holy Cross

Record 0-1Tempo 72.3Off 102.7Def 115.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin-13.02

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#294

-13.02

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#256

102.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#298

115.7

Adjusted Tempo

#142

72.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#283

25.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#214

49.3%

TOV%

#233

19.7%

ORB%

#279

29.3%

FTR

#198

34.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 102.7, D: 115.7

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-13.0

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #256, Def: #298

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:30.4%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.65

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:25.4

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.9%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.8%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.1%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.74

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:62.5%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)