No. 166· BSky

Montana St.

Record 0-1Tempo 72.6Off 107.5Def 109.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin-1.60

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#166

-1.60

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#160

107.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#190

109.1

Adjusted Tempo

#107

72.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#178

45.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#148

50.2%

TOV%

#100

18.4%

ORB%

#266

29.6%

FTR

#214

33.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.5, D: 109.1

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-1.6

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #160, Def: #190

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.3%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.24

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:45.4

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.4%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.1%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.1%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.08

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:70.6%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)