NC State

ACC

Record: 20-14

Rank:#36

AdjEM:17.16#36

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#36

17.16

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#26

120.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#80

103.6

Adjusted Tempo

#94

70.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#34

73.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#24

56.8%

TOV%

13.0%

ORB%

#201

29.6%

FTR

#114

37.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners

33% complete

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

KenPom Contender

FAIL

Value:O: 120.8, D: 103.6

Need:(O > 113.8 & D < 95) or EM > 30

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:17.2

Need:≥ 30.3

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:58.8%

Need:> 74%

Elite Off/Def Ranks

FAIL

Value:Off: #26, Def: #80

Need:Off ≤ 21, Def ≤ 37

3-Point %

PASS

Value:38.8%

Need:> 32%

AdjEM Rank

FAIL

Value:#36

Need:≤ #17

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:5.6%

Need:≥ 6%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.78

Need:≥ -5.50

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:1.9%

Need:≥ 0%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:7.2%

Need:≥ 1.5%

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:73.1

Need:> 80

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.8%

Need:> 70%

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Elite Cinderella Threat

⚠ Seeded 2 spots worse than AdjEM suggests — underseeded!

Underseeded (28%)92

Defense (27%)75

Possession (21%)83

Variance (14%)65

Resume (10%)90

View full Cinderella Index →