No. 76· ACC

NC State

Record 1-0Tempo 72.0Off 113.2Def 106.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin+6.27

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#76

6.27

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#51

113.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#124

106.9

Adjusted Tempo

#187

72.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#79

60.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#37

52.1%

TOV%

#159

19.0%

ORB%

#187

31.0%

FTR

#184

34.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 113.2, D: 106.9

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:6.3

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #51, Def: #124

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:44.0%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.73

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:60.1

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:3.2%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.7%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.7%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:3.65

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:66.7%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)