No. 168· NEC

New Haven

Record 0-1Tempo 71.4Off 102.5Def 104.2

Adj. Efficiency Margin-1.71

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#168

-1.71

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#263

102.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#63

104.2

Adjusted Tempo

#254

71.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#187

44.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#136

50.4%

TOV%

#199

19.4%

ORB%

#237

30.3%

FTR

#278

31.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 102.5, D: 104.2

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-1.7

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #263, Def: #63

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.3%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.26

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:44.3

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.4%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.1%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.3%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-3.55

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:55.6%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)