North Dakota St.

Sum

Record: 27-8

Rank:#113

AdjEM:4.70#113

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#113

4.70

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#132

110.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#122

105.6

Adjusted Tempo

#185

69.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#122

55.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#159

51.7%

TOV%

#126

16.2%

ORB%

#138

31.4%

FTR

#307

30.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

6 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners

40% complete

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

KenPom Contender

FAIL

Value:O: 110.3, D: 105.6

Need:(O > 113.8 & D < 95) or EM > 30

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:4.7

Need:≥ 30.3

Win Percentage

PASS

Value:77.1%

Need:> 74%

Elite Off/Def Ranks

FAIL

Value:Off: #132, Def: #122

Need:Off ≤ 21, Def ≤ 37

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.4%

Need:> 32%

AdjEM Rank

FAIL

Value:#113

Need:≤ #17

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.3%

Need:≥ 6%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.84

Need:≥ -5.50

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.4%

Need:≥ 0%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:2.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:55.4

Need:> 80

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-4.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:71.4%

Need:> 70%

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Notable Upset Risk

AdjEM-to-seed is 2 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.

Underseeded (28%)58

Defense (27%)60

Possession (21%)70

Variance (14%)64

Resume (10%)53

View full Cinderella Index →