No. 222· BSky

Northern Arizona

Record 0-1Tempo 72.0Off 107.7Def 112.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin-5.18

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#222

-5.18

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#155

107.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#278

112.9

Adjusted Tempo

#185

72.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#183

44.8

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#29

52.3%

TOV%

#266

20.2%

ORB%

#163

31.3%

FTR

#64

37.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.7, D: 112.9

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-5.2

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #155, Def: #278

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:47.8%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.68

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:44.8

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.7%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.9%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.9%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.15

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:66.7%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)