No. 248· Horz

Northern Illinois

Record 0-2Tempo 71.1Off 108.9Def 116.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin-7.23

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#248

-7.23

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#121

108.9

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#299

116.1

Adjusted Tempo

#277

71.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#229

38.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#52

51.8%

TOV%

16.6%

ORB%

#291

28.6%

FTR

#136

35.1%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.9, D: 116.1

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-7.2

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #121, Def: #299

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:41.7%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.93

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:38.3

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.1%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.0%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.5%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.71

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.9

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:80.5%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)