No. 38· B10

Northwestern

Record 1-0Tempo 71.0Off 116.5Def 106.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+10.13

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#38

10.13

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#14

116.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#111

106.4

Adjusted Tempo

#282

71.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#35

70.6

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#19

52.8%

TOV%

#60

18.1%

ORB%

#83

32.4%

FTR

#89

36.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 116.5, D: 106.4

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:10.1

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #14, Def: #111

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:40.0%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.20

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:70.6

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:3.0%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.0%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:2.7%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:3.17

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:64.0%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)