No. 78· B10

Penn St.

Record 2-0Tempo 72.9Off 114.8Def 108.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin+6.18

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#78

6.18

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#30

114.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#172

108.7

Adjusted Tempo

#75

72.9

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#43

68.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#84

51.2%

TOV%

#65

18.2%

ORB%

#10

35.0%

FTR

43.2%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 114.8, D: 108.7

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:6.2

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #30, Def: #172

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:23.8%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.72

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:68.0

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.7%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:0.8%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:4.0%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:11.16

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:82.1%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)