No. 242· SB

Texas St.

Record 19-13Tempo 67.3Off 105.1Def 111.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin-5.87

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#242

-5.87

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#261

105.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#217

111.0

Adjusted Tempo

#254

67.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#201

49.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#271

49.1%

TOV%

#309

18.7%

ORB%

#111

32.5%

FTR

#236

33.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 105.1, D: 111.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-5.9

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:59.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #261, Def: #217

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:32.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.49

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:49.4

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-4.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.44

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.7

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.2%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)