No. 180· MWC

UC Davis

Record 1-1Tempo 72.7Off 106.2Def 108.6

Adj. Efficiency Margin-2.42

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#180

-2.42

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#195

106.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#171

108.6

Adjusted Tempo

#103

72.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#169

46.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#213

49.3%

TOV%

#139

18.8%

ORB%

#132

31.6%

FTR

#55

37.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 106.2, D: 108.6

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-2.4

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:50.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #195, Def: #171

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:32.0%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.34

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:46.9

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.1%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:0.8%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:1.3%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.57

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-1.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:67.7%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)