UCF

B12

Record: 21-12

Rank:#56

AdjEM:12.45#56

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#56

12.45

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#48

117.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#103

105.0

Adjusted Tempo

#69

71.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#59

66.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#58

54.8%

TOV%

#81

15.4%

ORB%

#33

35.5%

FTR

#220

33.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners

33% complete

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

KenPom Contender

FAIL

Value:O: 117.5, D: 105.0

Need:(O > 113.8 & D < 95) or EM > 30

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:12.4

Need:≥ 30.3

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:63.6%

Need:> 74%

Elite Off/Def Ranks

FAIL

Value:Off: #48, Def: #103

Need:Off ≤ 21, Def ≤ 37

3-Point %

PASS

Value:36.2%

Need:> 32%

AdjEM Rank

FAIL

Value:#56

Need:≤ #17

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:3.9%

Need:≥ 6%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.86

Need:≥ -5.50

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:9.3%

Need:≥ 0%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:66.1

Need:> 80

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:1.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.9%

Need:> 70%

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Notable Upset Risk

AdjEM-to-seed is 4 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.

Underseeded (28%)62

Defense (27%)66

Possession (21%)73

Variance (14%)38

Resume (10%)91

View full Cinderella Index →