No. 234· AE

UMBC

Record 0-2Tempo 73.6Off 102.9Def 109.2

Adj. Efficiency Margin-6.23

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#234

-6.23

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#253

102.9

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#192

109.2

Adjusted Tempo

#35

73.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#267

31.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#251

48.5%

TOV%

#213

19.5%

ORB%

#285

29.0%

FTR

#218

33.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 102.9, D: 109.2

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-6.2

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #253, Def: #192

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:28.6%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.81

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:31.2

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.6%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.3%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.0%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.59

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.7

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:83.3%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)