UMBC

Record: 24-9

Rank:#156

AdjEM:1.30#156

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#156

1.30

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#152

109.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#176

108.0

Adjusted Tempo

#274

67.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#184

49.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#128

52.5%

TOV%

#59

15.0%

ORB%

#338

24.3%

FTR

#240

32.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners

20% complete

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

KenPom Contender

FAIL

Value:O: 109.3, D: 108.0

Need:(O > 113.8 & D < 95) or EM > 30

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:1.3

Need:≥ 30.3

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:72.7%

Need:> 74%

Elite Off/Def Ranks

FAIL

Value:Off: #152, Def: #176

Need:Off ≤ 21, Def ≤ 37

3-Point %

PASS

Value:36.1%

Need:> 32%

AdjEM Rank

FAIL

Value:#156

Need:≤ #17

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.7%

Need:≥ 6%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:6.17

Need:≥ -5.50

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-3.6%

Need:≥ 0%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.2%

Need:≥ 1.5%

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:49.3

Need:> 80

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-6.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.0%

Need:> 70%

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Notable Upset Risk

Seeded exactly where AdjEM expects.

Underseeded (28%)65

Defense (27%)42

Possession (21%)38

Variance (14%)65

Resume (10%)42

View full Cinderella Index →