Utah St.

MWC

Record: 29-7

Rank:#25

AdjEM:20.39#25

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#25

20.39

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#17

121.9

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#49

101.5

Adjusted Tempo

#218

68.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#20

78.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#17

57.3%

TOV%

#32

14.6%

ORB%

#46

34.7%

FTR

#102

38.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

7 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners

47% complete

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

KenPom Contender

FAIL

Value:O: 121.9, D: 101.5

Need:(O > 113.8 & D < 95) or EM > 30

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:20.4

Need:≥ 30.3

Win Percentage

PASS

Value:80.6%

Need:> 74%

Elite Off/Def Ranks

FAIL

Value:Off: #17, Def: #49

Need:Off ≤ 21, Def ≤ 37

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.3%

Need:> 32%

AdjEM Rank

FAIL

Value:#25

Need:≤ #17

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:8.6%

Need:≥ 6%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:2.52

Need:≥ -5.50

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.0%

Need:≥ 0%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:6.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:78.0

Need:> 80

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:4.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:70.9%

Need:> 70%

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Elite Cinderella Threat

⚠ Seeded 2 spots worse than AdjEM suggests — underseeded!

Underseeded (28%)95

Defense (27%)89

Possession (21%)93

Variance (14%)59

Resume (10%)89

View full Cinderella Index →