No. 109· MVC

Valparaiso

Record 1-0Tempo 71.7Off 108.8Def 106.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin+2.80

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#109

2.80

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#125

108.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#103

106.0

Adjusted Tempo

#228

71.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#52

65.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#140

50.3%

TOV%

#58

18.1%

ORB%

#125

31.8%

FTR

41.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.8, D: 106.0

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:2.8

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:100.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #125, Def: #103

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:25.0%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.30

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:65.5

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.2%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.6%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:1.6%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:5.17

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:65.1%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)