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Virginia
No. 45· ACC

Virginia

Record 1-0Tempo 73.3Off 112.3Def 102.5
Adj. Efficiency Margin+9.73

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin
#45
9.73
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
#65
112.3
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
#39
102.5
Adjusted Tempo
#49
73.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)
#50
65.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%
#103
50.9%
TOV%
#146
18.9%
ORB%
#121
31.8%
FTR
#213
33.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete
*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL
Value:Outside
Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL
Value:O: 112.3, D: 102.5
Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL
Value:9.7
Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL
Value:100.0%
Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL
Value:Off: #65, Def: #39
Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS
Value:34.5%
Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL
Value:Z: 1.15
Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A
Value:N/A
Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL
Value:65.9
Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL
Value:1.2%
Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

PASS
Value:1.7%
Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS
Value:2.4%
Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

PASS
Value:3.10
Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL
Value:0.0
Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS
Value:78.9%
Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)