No. 279· NEC

Wagner

Record 0-1Tempo 71.2Off 102.6Def 112.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin-10.03

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#279

-10.03

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#258

102.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#272

112.7

Adjusted Tempo

#273

71.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#245

35.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#282

47.4%

TOV%

#195

19.3%

ORB%

#140

31.6%

FTR

#187

34.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 102.6, D: 112.7

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-10.0

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #258, Def: #272

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:20.0%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.28

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:35.5

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-3.4%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.7%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:1.1%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.60

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.5%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)