No. 282· OVC

Western Illinois

Record 0-1Tempo 72.1Off 101.3Def 111.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin-10.52

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#282

-10.52

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#275

101.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#263

111.9

Adjusted Tempo

#165

72.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#253

34.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#223

49.1%

TOV%

#239

19.8%

ORB%

#242

30.2%

FTR

#88

36.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 101.3, D: 111.9

Need:(O ≥ 116.4 & D ≤ 102.4) or EM ≥ 20.7

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-10.5

Need:≥ 22.1

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 114.6% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #275, Def: #263

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:28.6%

Need:≥ 27.2% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.34

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:34.5

Need:≥ 82.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.2%

Need:≥ 3.8%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.6%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.6%

Need:≥ 0.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.17

Need:≥ -2.05

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:60.9%

Need:≥ 65.1% (Z ≥ -0.28)