Northern Iowa

MVC

Record: 23-13

Rank:#67

AdjEM:11.26#67

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#67

11.26

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#143

109.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#24

98.5

Adjusted Tempo

#365

64.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#55

66.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#56

54.8%

TOV%

#30

14.5%

ORB%

#353

22.1%

FTR

#346

27.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners

27% complete

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

KenPom Contender

FAIL

Value:O: 109.7, D: 98.5

Need:(O > 113.8 & D < 95) or EM > 30

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:11.3

Need:≥ 30.3

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:63.9%

Need:> 74%

Elite Off/Def Ranks

FAIL

Value:Off: #143, Def: #24

Need:Off ≤ 21, Def ≤ 37

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.7%

Need:> 32%

AdjEM Rank

FAIL

Value:#67

Need:≤ #17

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:7.9%

Need:≥ 6%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-1.48

Need:≥ -5.50

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.1%

Need:≥ 0%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:3.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:66.9

Need:> 80

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-4.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:69.2%

Need:> 70%

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Elite Cinderella Threat

AdjEM-to-seed is 4 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.

Underseeded (28%)60

Defense (27%)90

Possession (21%)64

Variance (14%)68

Resume (10%)73

View full Cinderella Index →